Luca Barberis

How many cohort users are still active at month N?

№ 104 · Active wallets cohort

01

Definition

MetricShare of a signup cohort still transacting at month N

Unit% of original cohort still active

Triangular grid of % of cohort still active (any transaction in trailing 30 days). Newer cohorts retain better in modern fintech. Build by counting users with any transaction per month per cohort. Example: Oct 25 cohort 64% active at M5; Mar 26 cohort 100% at M0 (early days).

02

Benchmarks

Bottom 30%MedianTop 30%
Day 1 below 20% and day 30 at or below 4%, the pattern in investment and crypto apps acquired on paid trafficDay 1 about 25 to 30%, day 7 about 12 to 18%, day 30 about 5 to 12%Day 30 retention of 15% or better and a month-6 curve that flattens above 10%, the pattern seen in banking apps anchored to direct deposit or bill payment

Consumer finance and fintech apps, install-based cohorts, Europe and Tier-1 Western markets, 2022 to 2026. Retention measured as an app open, which is a weaker event than a transaction, so a transaction-based active wallet curve will sit below these numbers. · The published benchmarks measure app opens, not funded transactions, and the gap matters. A wallet that counts only users with at least one transaction in the month will run materially below the AppsFlyer and Adjust figures for the same cohort. Sources disagree on fintech day 30: Business of Apps reports 4.2% across finance apps, the Adjust-derived figure is 11.6%, and UXCam puts strong performers at 10 to 15%. The spread is category composition rather than measurement error, since payments and crypto sit at the bottom and banking sits at the top of the same aggregate. Also note that nearly one in two Western European investment app installs was flagged as fraudulent, which means an uncleaned cohort chart in that category is measuring bots for its first few weeks.

By category
CategoryBottom 30%MedianTop 30%
Traditional bank appsroughly 12% at day 30roughly 15 to 20% at day 30day 30 at 1.5x to 2x the neobank level
Neobanks and digital walletsbelow 6% at day 30roughly 8 to 12% at day 30roughly 12 to 15% at day 30
Investment, trading and crypto appsbelow 3% at day 30about 4% at day 30, 19% at day 1roughly 8% at day 30
Payments and money transfer appsbelow 3% at day 30about 4 to 6% at day 30retargeting driving 25 to 40% of conversions, day 30 near the finance median
03

When it looks bad

The cohort curves never flatten, so instead of a decay that levels into a stable plateau after month 3 the lines keep sloping toward zero, which means the product has no habitual core and every month of growth has to be bought again.

Month 1 at 34%, month 3 at 11%, month 6 at 4%, month 12 at 1.4%, with the month-12 point falling for each successive cohort. There is no plateau, so cohort lifetime is finite and short.

04

What to do about it

  • Filter install fraud before reading the chart at all. Nearly one in two Western European investment app installs was flagged as fraudulent, and iOS fraud rates in the finance vertical ran higher than Android despite the platform's quality premium, so an unfiltered curve overstates month 0 and understates every retention rate derived from it (AppsFlyer with Sensor Tower, 2026).
  • Build a retargeting programme rather than treating retention as a product-only problem. Retargeting drove up to 85% of conversions for traditional banks against 3 to 4% for neobanks, and that gap is the single clearest correlate of the 1.5x to 2x day 30 retention difference between the two groups (AppsFlyer, 2025).
  • Shift the activation event from install to first funded transaction and rebuild the cohort chart on that basis. About 14% of finance app users complete all activation steps by day 30, so a curve anchored on install is measuring a population that is mostly never going to transact (Business of Apps, 2026).
  • Add a scheduled recurring reason to open the app, such as a bill reminder or a payday balance summary. Banking apps recorded about 12.5 hours per download in early 2026 against 8.8 for investment and money management apps, and the difference is scheduled utility rather than discretionary interest (AppsFlyer with Sensor Tower, 2026).
05

Sources

  1. AppsFlyerThe European finance app market is changing. Here's what the data shows · 2025 · n=187 finance and fintech apps in UK, France and Germany, 180m+ installs, January 2022 to July 2025 Investment apps retained 19% of users at day 1 and only 4% at day 30; traditional banks achieved day 30 retention 1.5 to 2x that of neobanks, with retargeting driving up to 85% of bank conversions versus 3 to 4% for neobanks. appsflyer.com ↗
  2. AppsFlyer, with Sensor Tower and Google AdsWhere European Finance Apps Win or Lose Users (State of Finance for Marketers: Europe 2026) · 2026 · n=approximately 300 European finance apps, 2.4bn installs and USD 1bn of UA and remarketing spend, Q2 2024 to Q1 2026 European finance installs reached 960m in 2025 with 0.4% growth; banking app users spent about 12.5 hours per download in early 2026 against 8.8 hours for investment and money management apps; web-to-app drove 41.8% of owned media conversions; nearly one in two Western European investment app installs was flagged as fraudulent. appsflyer.com ↗
  3. Business of AppsFinance App Benchmarks · 2026 · Aggregated finance app benchmark set, top-50 finance apps by installs in Tier-1 Western markets Finance apps average 4.2% day 30 retention with stock trading highest and payments lowest; about 14% of finance app users complete all activation steps by day 30. businessofapps.com ↗
  4. UXCamMobile App Retention Benchmarks by Industry · 2026 · Compiled from AppsFlyer and Adjust published benchmarks, cross-referenced against 37,000+ apps in UXCam's base Day 30 retention of 10 to 15% for strong fintech performers against an all-category median near 4%. uxcam.com ↗
  5. CORE MBA Research, citing Adjust Mobile App Trends 2026 and AppsFlyer State of App MarketingMobile App Retention Benchmarks 2026: 13 Verticals Plus Platform Splits · 2026 · Adjust base of 100,000+ apps, AppsFlyer install base cross-reference Cross-industry 2026 medians of D1 25 to 26%, D7 11 to 13% and D30 5 to 7%, with fintech at D1 30%, D7 17.6% and D30 11.6%. core-mba.pro ↗
  6. Nu Holdings (Nubank)Nu Holdings Ltd. Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results · 2026 · n=1 platform, 131m customers, 17m net adds in 2025 Monthly ARPAC reached USD 15.0 in Q4 2025, up from USD 11.1 a year earlier; monthly activity rate held at 83% and cost to serve at USD 0.80. international.nubank.com.br ↗
  7. Block, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, Q3 2025 shareholder letter)Block, Inc. Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1, third quarter 2025 · 2025 · n=1 platform, USD 67.2bn Square GPV, 58m Cash App monthly transacting actives Cash App gross profit per monthly transacting active reached USD 94.16 annualised in Q3 2025, up 25% year on year, with 8.3m primary banking actives. sec.gov ↗
  8. Chime Financial (SEC Form S-1/A)Chime Financial, Inc. Form S-1/A · 2025 · n=1 platform, 8.6m active members at filing Defines a primary account relationship as 15 or more card purchases in a calendar month or one qualifying direct deposit of USD 200 or more, and defines payback as the point at which cumulative cohort transaction profit meets that cohort's acquisition cost. sec.gov ↗