Luca Barberis

What's the age structure of the team?

№ 215 · Tenure distribution

01

Definition

MetricDistribution of current employee tenure, read as median tenure and the share of headcount under twelve months

UnitYears of tenure and % of headcount per band

Histogram of months at company across employees. Identifies the long-tail experienced cohort. Pull start dates per employee. Healthy curve has a meaningful number of long-tenured plus regular new hires. Example: 32% below 1yr, 28% 1-3yr, 22% 3-5yr, 18% 5+yr.

02

Benchmarks

Bottom 30%MedianTop 30%
Median tenure under 2.5 years with more than 35% below twelve monthsMedian tenure 3.9 years with 22% of headcount below twelve monthsMedian tenure above 4 years with under 20% of headcount below twelve months

US wage and salary workers, Current Population Survey supplement, January 2024, median years with current employer · The BLS series is the strongest source on this card, drawn from a 60,000-household survey, and it is also the only one that publishes a full distribution rather than an average. The 3.9 year median in January 2024 was the lowest reading since 2002. Two cautions apply. First, the survey is biennial and the January 2024 release is the most recent, so the number is two years old in a labor market that has since cooled, and cooling usually lengthens tenure. Second, national medians are dominated by occupation mix: management and professional occupations sit at 4.8 years while service occupations sit at 2.7 and food preparation at 2.0, so any single-company comparison must be made against its own occupational mix. In venture-backed commercial roles the picture is much shorter, with Bridge Group putting average account executive tenure at about 2.8 years.

By category
CategoryBottom 30%MedianTop 30%
Management and professional occupations3.5 years4.8 years5.7 years (management)
Service occupations2.0 years (food preparation and serving)2.7 years3.5 years
Quota-carrying B2B salesUnder 2 years2.8 years4 years or more
03

When it looks bad

The distribution is bimodal, with a wall of sub-twelve-month hires, a thin one-to-three-year middle and a small long-tenure cluster, meaning the organization is not converting new hires into experienced staff.

41% of headcount below twelve months, 12% between one and three years, and 22% above five years, with a median of 1.4 years.

04

What to do about it

  • Read the twelve to twenty-four month band first, not the newest cohort. That band is the conversion rate from hire to established employee, and it is the section that predicts next year's median far better than current attrition does.
  • Compare the distribution against occupational mix rather than against a national median. BLS shows a 2.8 year gap between management occupations at 4.8 years and service occupations at 2.7, so a warehouse-heavy company with a 2.5 year median may be at market while an engineering-heavy one is not.
  • Overlay the ramp line on the distribution. Where average tenure is 2.8 years and ramp is 6.2 months, as Bridge Group reports for account executives, roughly a fifth of every cohort's tenure is spent below full productivity and the shape of the tenure chart is also a capacity chart.
  • Track the long-tenure cluster for concentration risk separately. A handful of people above eight years usually hold the undocumented process knowledge, and their replacement cost sits at the top of the Gallup range rather than the middle.
05

Sources

  1. US Bureau of Labor StatisticsEmployee Tenure in 2024 · 2024 · Current Population Survey supplement, about 60,000 households, January 2024 Median tenure with current employer was 3.9 years, the lowest since 2002, down from 4.1 years in 2022. 22% of workers had a year or less of tenure. Management and professional occupations ran 4.8 years, service occupations 2.7 years and food preparation 2.0 years. bls.gov ↗
  2. Blossom Street Ventures summarising The Bridge GroupAE metrics from 172 SaaS companies · 2024 · n=172 SaaS companies, summary of the Bridge Group AE report Average ramp time rose to 5.7 months, average tenure to 2.8 years, with median annual turnover of 30% of which 11 points are voluntary. 51% of AEs met quota, down from 66% in 2022. blossomstreetventures.medium.com ↗
  3. The Bridge GroupAE Models, Motions and Metrics: 2026 Research Report, 10th edition · 2026 · n=158 B2B companies Ramp time reached 6.2 months, the highest in the research history. 48% of reps achieved quota, down from 51% in 2024. Median OTE $200K, median quota $960K, quota to OTE ratio 4.6x. Experience required at hire rose to 3.7 years. Companies in the top AI engagement tercile reported 57% of reps at quota versus 39% in the lowest. blog.bridgegroupinc.com ↗
  4. CartaState of Startup Compensation: H2 2025 · 2026 · All private companies on the Carta platform, headcount and departure records through January 2026 Average Series D headcount fell 29% from its 2023 peak to 131 employees, Series B from 53 to 45, and median seed team size is four. In January 2026 there were 12,161 voluntary departures against 8,217 layoffs. Voluntary departures are down 40% from the June 2022 peak and layoffs down 57% from January 2023. carta.com ↗
  5. Pin reporting Mercer 2025 US Turnover Survey and SHRM 2025 BenchmarkingAttrition Rate: Formula, Benchmarks and Reduction Strategies · 2026 · Mercer n=2,617 organizations, SHRM n=2,371 organizations US voluntary attrition averaged 13% in 2024 to 2025, down from 24.7% in 2022. Retail and wholesale run 26.7% against 8.2% in insurance. SHRM's median voluntary turnover was 9% with a 13% average. pin.com ↗
  6. US Bureau of Labor StatisticsJob Openings and Labor Turnover Summary, June 2026 · 2026 · JOLTS survey of about 16,400 nonfarm establishments Job openings 7.4 million, hires 5.3 million, total separations 5.4 million, quits 3.2 million and layoffs 1.8 million. Quits rate 2.0% per month, layoffs rate 1.1%, total separations rate 3.4%. bls.gov ↗
  7. Employ Inc.2026 Hiring Benchmarks: How You Stack Up · 2026 · n=6,640 customers across Jobvite, Lever and JazzHR, 2025 hiring data First-year turnover fell to 12.1% in 2025 from 23.7% in 2024. Time to screen improved across all sizes, with enterprises fastest at 5.7 days and hospitality slowest at 6.5 days. employinc.com ↗
  8. Pin reporting Mercer, Gallup and Work InstituteEmployee Turnover Rate: Formula and Benchmarks · 2026 · Mercer n=2,617 organizations plus secondary sources Benchmarks range from 8.2% in insurance and about 12% in tech to 26.7% in retail and roughly 74% in hospitality. Replacement cost runs 0.5x to 2x annual salary. pin.com ↗