Luca Barberis

Are we moving up or down market?

№ 018 · ACV trend

01

Definition

MetricAverage (and median) annual contract value of new business over time

Unitcurrency per contract per year

Average contract value over time. Rising ACV means moving upmarket; falling means SMB drift. Build by computing total new ARR divided by new customer count per quarter. Useful sanity check on your segment mix. Example: Q1 $32K, Q4 $58K (clear upmarket move).

ACV
Annual contract value. Total contract value divided by contract length in years.
SMB
Small and medium business. Segment label, usually under 200 employees or a defined contract-value band.
ARR
Annual recurring revenue. MRR at period end multiplied by 12, or the annualised value of active contracts.
02

Benchmarks

Bottom 30%MedianTop 30%
ACV flat or declining while sales cycle lengthens, the worst of both motionsPrivate SaaS median deal ~$26k; companies moving from the $5-10M to $10-20M ARR stage have shown median ACV roughly doubling ($26.7k to $56.1k in KeyBanc-derived data)New-business ACV compounding 20%+ per year through packaging and segment mix while win rate holds

Private B2B SaaS new-business contracts, 2024-2025; segment anchors: SMB $5-15k, mid-market ~$40k, enterprise ~$220k (public comparables) · ACV distributions are carried mainly by aggregators repackaging KeyBanc and public data, so treat levels as anchors, not quartiles; the trend on your own chart matters more than the cross-company level. Moving upmarket trades velocity for size: every ~5x in ACV roughly doubles cycle length in aggregator data, and payback worsens above $100k ACV (Benchmarkit).

Category split omitted: ACV distributions by vertical or motion are not published by two independent Tier 1-2 sources; only stage-level medians and segment anchors exist.

03

When it looks bad

The mean ACV line rises while the median flatlines: a few large deals drag the average up as the core deal stays the same, creating a false upmarket narrative and a concentration risk at the same time.

Mean new-business ACV climbs $28k to $41k over a year; median sits at $24k throughout. Two seven-figure logos explain the whole move, and the pipeline behind them looks exactly like the old business.

04

What to do about it

  • Plot median and mean together with a quartile band; the gap between them is the concentration story, and this chart should be read next to card 019.
  • Raise ACV through packaging before segment change: add-on modules, usage tiers and premium support raise the median without buying the longer cycles and worse payback of true enterprise motion (Benchmarkit: above $250k ACV acquisition efficiency drops).
  • If deliberately moving upmarket, re-cost the motion in the same plan: roughly double cycle length per 5x ACV step and heavier security and legal load; fund implementation depth, since high-ACV retention advantages come from it (SaaS Capital).
  • Guard the floor: rising ACV with falling win rate and rising CAC can net negative; track ACV x win rate x velocity as one composite before celebrating the trend.
05

Sources

  1. The Digital Bloom (aggregating KeyBanc and public data)2025 B2B SaaS Funnel Benchmarks · 2025 · aggregation incl. KeyBanc survey data Private SaaS average deal $26,265; $10-20M ARR companies report median ACV $56,101, more than doubling from $26,738 the prior year; segment anchors SMB $4.8-15k, MM $40k, enterprise $220k thedigitalbloom.com ↗
  2. ChartMogulSaaS Benchmarks reports hub (Subscription Growth Benchmark) · 2025 · n=2,500+ SaaS businesses Companies starting at $300-2,999/month deal sizes grow 3-5x faster than smaller or much larger entry points; 70% still serve the original target customer after 3+ years chartmogul.com ↗
  3. Benchmarkit2024 SaaS Performance Metrics Report · 2024 · n=936 companies ACV is the company attribute most correlated with CAC payback (9 months under $5k ACV vs 24 above $100k) benchmarkit.ai ↗
  4. Benchmarkit2025 SaaS Performance Metrics Report · 2025 · annual survey Deals above $250k ACV show materially lower acquisition efficiency than $50-100k deals; GRR and NRR both rise with ACV benchmarkit.ai ↗
  5. SaaS Capital2023 B2B SaaS Retention Benchmarks · 2023 · n=1,000+ private B2B SaaS companies Companies at similar ACVs share GTM structure and retention profile; ACV is the primary benchmarking axis saas-capital.com ↗