Luca Barberis

What's the cost of quality issues?

№ 129 · Warranty cost as % of revenue

01

Definition

MetricWarranty claims and accruals as a percentage of product sales revenue

Unit% of product sales revenue

Warranty claim cost divided by revenue. Above 3-4% means quality issue. Build from accounting (warranty reserve plus actual claims). Spikes post-launch often signal recall risk. Example: 1.8% baseline, 4.2% post-launch (investigate quality before scaling).

02

Benchmarks

Bottom 30%MedianTop 30%
Above 2.5% claims rate1.30% claims rate, 1.43% accrual rate (all US manufacturers, 2025)Under 0.9% claims rate

US-based manufacturers reporting warranty expense to the SEC, full-year 2025. Claims rate is claims paid over segmented product sales revenue, accrual rate is accruals made over the same base, both excluding extended warranty and repair service revenue. · This is the best-instrumented metric in the section, because SEC and FASB rules require disclosure and Warranty Week has captured it since 2003 across more than 1,400 US manufacturers. Two cautions. First, coverage gaps are real: Apple stopped reporting in 2022, Microsoft in 2013, and Google has never reported, so the consumer electronics sub-industry rested on six reporting companies in 2025 and is dominated by two of them. Second, the two rates measure different things and their divergence is the signal. Claims rate is backward looking, paid on cohorts shipped six to twenty-four months earlier, while accrual rate is management's forward estimate on current shipments. An accrual rate jumping above the claims rate means a quality problem is being recognised before the claims arrive. The 23-year US average accrual rate is 1.40% with a standard deviation of 0.20%, so sustained readings above roughly 1.8% sit outside normal variation. Older figures cited below, from 2014, 2017 and 2019, are included for long-run context and should not be used as current benchmarks.

By category
CategoryBottom 30%MedianTop 30%
Consumer electronicsAbove 2.4% claims1.38% claims, 1.50% accrual (2025)Below 1.0% claims
ComputersAbove 2.2% claims, the 23-year average for the group1.11% claims, 1.05% accrual (2025)Below 0.8% claims
PeripheralsAbove 1.6% claims1.10% claims, 1.12% accrual (2025)Below 0.7% claims
Data storageAbove 1.3% claims, the 23-year group average0.69% claims, 1.12% accrual (2025)Below 0.5% claims
Semiconductors and PCBAbove 0.9% claims0.42% claims, 0.95% accrual (2025)Below 0.3% claims
03

When it looks bad

The accrual line steps up sharply in one quarter and stays there, and the claims line follows it two or three quarters later, which is a shipped cohort failing rather than repair costs inflating.

Accrual rate moves from 1.4% to 3.1% of product revenue in a single quarter on a $28m revenue base, with the claims rate following to 2.6% two quarters later.

04

What to do about it

  • Reconcile the claims rate to shipment cohorts rather than to current-quarter revenue, because a falling revenue base inflates the ratio without any change in product quality. The 23-year US average accrual rate is 1.40% with a 0.20% standard deviation (Warranty Week), so anything sustained above roughly 1.8% is outside normal variation and should be treated as a product problem, not a cost problem.
  • Split claims by failure mode and serial batch and stop shipping the affected batch before raising the accrual. A single-mode failure is what moves this ratio violently: one GPU maker's warranty claims rose roughly tenfold between 2024 and 2025 on one connector issue (Warranty Week).
  • Fund a targeted repair or replacement path for the affected cohort rather than a blanket warranty extension, because a blanket extension resets the accrual rate permanently across all future shipments while a targeted programme is a one-time charge.
  • Where the claims rate is structurally high for the category, sell a paid protection plan against the same service network so it carries revenue as well as cost. Consumer electronics plans priced at 15% to 20% of device price carry 40% to 60% gross margin (All Shield).
05

Sources

  1. Warranty Week23rd Annual Product Warranty Report · 2026 · Over 1,400 US-based warranty-issuing manufacturers, 99.8% reporting for 2025 In 2025 the average US product warranty claims rate was 1.30% and the average accrual rate 1.43%. Over 23 years the average accrual rate was 1.40% with a 0.20% standard deviation and the average claims rate 1.42% with a 0.18% standard deviation. Totals were $30.37bn claims, $33.41bn accruals and $71.89bn reserves. warrantyweek.com ↗
  2. Warranty WeekU.S. Electronics Warranty Report · 2026 · 334 US-based electronics manufacturers across five industry groups, 2003 to 2025 2025 rates by group. Consumer electronics: claims 1.38%, accrual 1.50%, against 23-year averages of 1.50% and 1.45%. Computers: claims 1.11%, accrual 1.05%, against 23-year averages of 2.24% and 2.24%. Semiconductors and PCB: claims 0.42%, accrual 0.95%. Data storage: claims 0.69%, accrual 1.12%. Peripherals: claims 1.10%, accrual 1.12%. warrantyweek.com ↗
  3. Warranty WeekTwenty-Second Annual Product Warranty Report · 2025 · Over 1,400 US-based manufacturers, 2024 data In 2024 US manufacturers paid an average of 1.329% of product sales revenue on warranty claims and set aside 1.333% on accruals, with $31.041bn accrued, $29.176bn claimed and $60.839bn held in reserves. US consumer electronics accrued $106m. warrantyweek.com ↗
  4. Warranty WeekThe 80/20 Rule of Product Warranties · 2017 · Top 20 US warranty providers against all other reporting manufacturers The top 20 warranty providers spent an average of 2.0% of product revenue on claims and accrued 1.9%, while all other companies spent 0.9% on claims and accrued 0.8%. The gap has averaged about one percentage point over 15 years. Dated figure, included for long-run context only. warrantyweek.com ↗
  5. Warranty WeekWarranty Claims Rates by Industry · 2019 · US manufacturers across vehicles, electronics and building trades 1.5% was the average percentage of product sales revenue spent on warranty claims since 2003, with substantial volatility around that figure by product type and year. Dated figure, included for long-run context only. warrantyweek.com ↗
  6. Warranty WeekConsumer Electronics Warranty Report · 2014 · US consumer electronics and consumer IT manufacturers The 1.2% consumer electronics rate seen at the end of 2013 was the lowest since 2005, and the report notes the sub-industry is small enough that a single troubled manufacturer moves the average. Dated figure, included for long-run context only. warrantyweek.com ↗
  7. US SEC (Garmin Ltd)Garmin 2025 Annual Report, Form ARS · 2026 · The largest US consumer electronics warranty reporter, FY2025 Revenue of $7.25bn in 2025 at a 58.7% gross margin. Per Warranty Week the same company paid $96m in warranty claims in 2025, up 16%, and held $73m in reserves, making it the dominant weight in the US consumer electronics warranty average. sec.gov ↗
  8. US SEC (GoPro, Inc.)GoPro Form 10-K, fiscal year 2025 · 2026 · The second largest US consumer electronics warranty reporter, FY2025 Revenue of $651.5m in 2025 on 1.826 million camera units. Per Warranty Week the same company paid $11m in warranty claims in 2025 and accrued $10m, roughly 1.7% and 1.5% of hardware revenue respectively. sec.gov ↗